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Rural white voters in Wisconsin could decide America's election. They are less enthusiastic about Donald Trump than their counterparts elsewhere.
Joe Biden's weakness among Latinos threatens his re-election. In Arizona, a growing Hispanic electorate should help Democrats. Yet Donald Trump is gaining ground.
Trump's lead over Biden may be smaller than it looks. Consider only the highest-quality national polls, and the Republican's advantage melts away
How does Ron DeSantis dropping out change the Republican primary? New Hampshire's unusual electorate gives Nikki Haley a chance there. But the path beyond is rocky
Where Donald Trump still looks vulnerable. His relative weakness among college-educated and suburban voters persists
America's pollsters aren't sure they've fixed the flaws of 2020. That does not inspire confidence for 2024
Hamas's attack was the bloodiest in Israel's history. More Jews were killed on October 7th than on any day since the Holocaust
Republican parties in important swing states are falling apart. The MAGA makeovers of state parties are driving away donors–and potentially voters
Ron DeSantis is relying on big donors and his super PAC. The latest campaign-finance disclosures look good for him but disguise a flaw
What drives people to vote the way they do? A new study using data on charity donations highlights the role of moral values
Cheap vaccines could prevent millions of deaths from cervical cancer. A turning-point looms in the campaign to eliminate the disease (code here)
The jury is still out: Suicide and self-harm rates for girls are rising. Are smartphones to blame?
Abortions have become 6% rarer since he end of Roe v Wade. That overall number disguises huge variation between states
America's 117th Congress accomplished a lot. So did its recent predecessors.
Margins matter: The World Cup's group stage bodes well for Morocco and England
Fertility trends: American-born women had more babies during the pandemic
Shining light on lies: A study of lights at night suggest dictators lie about economic growth
It pays to be friends: Friendship across class lines may boost social mobility and decrease poverty
America's opioid crisis developed in plain sight.
The harshest affliction: Family separation among slaves in America was shockingly prevalent
Class revival: The grandchildren of China's pre-revolutionary elite are unusually rich
Black Americans have overtaken white victims in opioid death rates. The reasons for a lethal shift
Are progressive prosecutors to blame for an American homicide wave? Recent data suggest the story is much more complicated
Stoppage time: For elite footballers, the effects of covid-19 linger for months
Levelling up at gunpoint: How regions near Stalin's gulag benefit today from his victims
The used-car conundrum: A handful of items are driving inflation in America
The last frontier: The pivotal state for making America's Senate more proportional is Alaska (code here)
Left march: Military bases swung hard away from Republicans in 2020
The font's the thing: How data detectives spotted fake numbers in a widely cited paper
Fitbit for purpose: A new study using wearable devices could help to define long covid
Not moving the needle: In America, even full local hospitals do not dent vaccine scepticism
Stamped out: In-person voting really did accelerate covid-19's spread in America (code here)
Brahmins v merchants: Educated voters' leftward shift is surprisingly old and international